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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Omigawa

Orthodox Judo, Boxing
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
68" Reach 70"
2.01 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
64% Strike Defense 51%
1.19 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
49% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Omigawa
43%
Gaethje
57%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Reach Advantage Gaethje ▲
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Omigawa Strike Defense
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Omigawa Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Judo, Boxing VS Striker

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Omigawa Tactics

Veteran

"Michihiro Omigawa is a well-rounded veteran with a solid striking and grappling game, but he needs to develop his skills further to remain competitive at the highest level."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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