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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Lombardo

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
72" Reach 70"
1.47 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
31% Strike Defense 51%
2.5 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
60% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Lombardo
45%
Gaethje
55%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Lombardo Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Lombardo Grappling Output

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Lombardo Tactics

Prospect

"Michael Lombardo is a high-volume striker with a strong striking game, but his grappling skills are underdeveloped and need improvement."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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