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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Johnson

Southpaw Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
73" Reach 70"
4.27 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
58% Strike Defense 51%
0.57 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
81% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Johnson
46%
Gaethje
54%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Johnson Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Johnson Strike Defense
▲ Johnson Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Johnson Tactics

Veteran

"Michael Johnson is a seasoned striker with a high volume of strikes, but his subpar grappling skills and declining record indicate a fighter on the downside of his career."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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