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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Mustaki

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
8.2 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
45% Strike Defense 51%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 0.33
N/A Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Mustaki
50%
Gaethje
50%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Mustaki Striking Volume
Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Mustaki Tactics

Prospect

"Max Mustaki is a relatively aggressive striker with limited grappling skills, often relying on his striking to secure wins."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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