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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Serra

Orthodox Brazilian jiu-jitsu
VS

Ferguson

Orthodox Striker
68" Reach 76"
1.98 Strikes Landed/Min 4.91
46% Strike Defense 55%
2.05 Takedowns/15Min 0.39
38% Takedown Defense 66%

Win Probability

Serra
42%
Ferguson
58%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Reach Advantage Ferguson ▲
Striking Volume Ferguson ▲
Strike Defense Ferguson ▲
Takedown Defense Ferguson ▲
▲ Serra Grappling Output
Win Rate Ferguson ▲

Style Matchup

Brazilian jiu-jitsu VS Striker

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Serra Tactics

Journeyman

"Matt Serra is a well-rounded fighter with a penchant for grappling, but inconsistent striking accuracy holds him back from reaching his full potential."

Ferguson Tactics

Veteran

"Tony Ferguson is a veteran striker with a high volume of strikes and a strong record, but his grappling game is lacking, making him a one-dimensional fighter at 170lbs."

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