+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Serra
Orthodox Brazilian jiu-jitsu
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
68" Reach 70"
1.98 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
46% Strike Defense 51%
2.05 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
38% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Serra
40%
Gaethje
60%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Reach Advantage Gaethje ▲
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
— Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Serra Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Brazilian jiu-jitsu VS Striker
"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."
Serra Tactics
Journeyman"Matt Serra is a well-rounded fighter with a penchant for grappling, but inconsistent striking accuracy holds him back from reaching his full potential."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."