+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Dwyer
Orthodox Balanced
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
76" Reach 70"
2.57 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
54% Strike Defense 51%
0.44 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
60% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Dwyer
43%
Gaethje
57%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
▲ Dwyer Reach Advantage —
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
— Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Balanced VS Striker
"Balanced vs Specialist — The well-rounded fighter can dictate where this fight takes place, forcing their opponent out of their comfort zone."
Dwyer Tactics
Journeyman"Matt Dwyer is a well-rounded journeyman with a strong striking game and decent grappling skills, but he struggles with defense and consistency."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."