+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Brown
Orthodox Balanced
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
75" Reach 70"
3.76 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
55% Strike Defense 51%
1.68 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
63% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Brown
45%
Gaethje
55%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
▲ Brown Reach Advantage —
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
— Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Brown Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Balanced VS Striker
"Balanced vs Specialist — The well-rounded fighter can dictate where this fight takes place, forcing their opponent out of their comfort zone."
Brown Tactics
Veteran"Matt Brown is a well-rounded veteran fighter with a strong striking game and decent grappling skills, but has struggled with consistency in his career."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."