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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Arroyo

Orthodox Grappler
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
72" Reach 70"
1.62 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
58% Strike Defense 51%
2.12 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
100% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Arroyo
42%
Gaethje
58%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Arroyo Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Arroyo Strike Defense
▲ Arroyo Takedown Defense
▲ Arroyo Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Grappler VS Striker

"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."

Arroyo Tactics

Journeyman

"Matt Arroyo is a grappling specialist with a strong ground game, but his striking skills are underdeveloped and he often struggles on the feet."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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