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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Eddiva

Orthodox Sanshou
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
68" Reach 70"
3.37 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
54% Strike Defense 51%
1.45 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
63% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Eddiva
43%
Gaethje
57%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Reach Advantage Gaethje ▲
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Eddiva Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Sanshou VS Striker

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Eddiva Tactics

Journeyman

"Mark Eddiva is a well-rounded fighter with decent striking and grappling skills, but lacks the consistency to compete at the top level."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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