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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Choinski

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
69" Reach 70"
3.87 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
33% Strike Defense 51%
2 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
N/A Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Choinski
46%
Gaethje
54%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Choinski Grappling Output

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Choinski Tactics

Prospect

"Mark Choinski is a talented young striker with exceptional volume and accuracy, but his grappling vulnerabilities and limited experience make him a work in progress."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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