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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Soto

N/A Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
1.43 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
42% Strike Defense 51%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 0.33
N/A Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Soto
43%
Gaethje
57%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Soto Tactics

Unknown

"An untested striker with low output and accuracy, lacking in grappling skills and overall well-roundedness."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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