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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Barbosa

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
70" Reach 70"
7.01 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
52% Strike Defense 51%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 0.33
100% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Barbosa
57%
Gaethje
43%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Barbosa Takedown Defense
▲ Barbosa Win Rate

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Barbosa Tactics

Elite

"Marcio Barbosa is a highly skilled and experienced striker with a strong record, making him a top contender in the division with a significant striking advantage."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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