+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Sousa
Orthodox Grappler
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
70" Reach 70"
4.15 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
51% Strike Defense 51%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 0.33
60% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Sousa
51%
Gaethje
49%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
— Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Sousa Win Rate —
Style Matchup
Grappler VS Striker
"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."
Sousa Tactics
Veteran"Manoel Sousa is a skilled grappler with a strong background in Brazilian jiu-jitsu, but his striking skills are underdeveloped, making him a one-dimensional fighter."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."