+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Watson
N/A Grappler
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
0.93 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
22% Strike Defense 51%
2 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
33% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Watson
40%
Gaethje
60%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
— Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
— Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Watson Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Grappler VS Striker
"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."
Watson Tactics
Prospect"A developing grappler with a strong takedown game, but limited striking skills."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."