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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Burnell

Orthodox Brazilian jiu-jitsu
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
69" Reach 70"
1.28 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
51% Strike Defense 51%
3.45 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
22% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Burnell
44%
Gaethje
56%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Burnell Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Brazilian jiu-jitsu VS Striker

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Burnell Tactics

Veteran

"Mads Burnell is a well-rounded veteran with a strong striking and grappling game, making him a formidable opponent in both disciplines."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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