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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Jumeau

Orthodox Kickboxing, BJJ, Tae Kwon Do
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
72" Reach 70"
2.93 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
58% Strike Defense 51%
0.25 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
86% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Jumeau
47%
Gaethje
53%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Jumeau Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Jumeau Strike Defense
▲ Jumeau Takedown Defense
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Kickboxing, BJJ, Tae Kwon Do VS Striker

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Jumeau Tactics

Veteran

"Luke Jumeau is a skilled grappler with strong takedown defense and submission skills, but may struggle to finish fights due to his relatively low striking output."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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