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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Cummo

Orthodox Balanced
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
74" Reach 70"
1.74 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
59% Strike Defense 51%
0.89 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
42% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Cummo
41%
Gaethje
59%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Cummo Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Cummo Strike Defense
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Cummo Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Balanced VS Striker

"Balanced vs Specialist — The well-rounded fighter can dictate where this fight takes place, forcing their opponent out of their comfort zone."

Cummo Tactics

Veteran

"Luke Cummo is a well-rounded fighter with a solid record, but his inconsistent striking and grappling numbers suggest he's a mid-tier competitor."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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