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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Pena

Southpaw Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
75" Reach 70"
3.66 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
51% Strike Defense 51%
1.17 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
48% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Pena
46%
Gaethje
54%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Pena Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Pena Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Pena Tactics

Veteran

"Luis Pena is a well-rounded veteran with a strong striking game and decent grappling skills, making him a formidable opponent."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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