Return to Hub

Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Alexander

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
73" Reach 70"
4.69 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
56% Strike Defense 51%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 0.33
60% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Alexander
46%
Gaethje
54%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Alexander Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Alexander Tactics

Journeyman

"Lucas Alexander is a journeyman fighter with a decent striking game, but his lack of grappling skills and defensive vulnerabilities make him a stepping stone for more well-rounded opponents."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

More Matchups To Explore