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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Chagas

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
75" Reach 70"
4.16 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
62% Strike Defense 51%
0.32 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
85% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Chagas
49%
Gaethje
51%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Chagas Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Chagas Strike Defense
▲ Chagas Takedown Defense
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Chagas Tactics

Veteran

"Luan Chagas is a seasoned veteran with a strong striking game, but his grappling defense is a concern, making him vulnerable to submissions."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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