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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Santos

Orthodox Grappler
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
75" Reach 70"
2.82 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
54% Strike Defense 51%
0.88 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
86% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Santos
46%
Gaethje
54%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Santos Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Santos Takedown Defense
▲ Santos Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Grappler VS Striker

"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."

Santos Tactics

Prospect

"Leonardo Santos is a developing fighter with a strong defensive grappling game, but his striking and takedown offense need improvement."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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