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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Lawrence

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
74" Reach 70"
5.87 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
24% Strike Defense 51%
1 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
50% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Lawrence
46%
Gaethje
54%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Lawrence Reach Advantage
Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Lawrence Grappling Output

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Lawrence Tactics

Prospect

"Lance Lawrence is a raw, aggressive striker with a strong jab and decent takedown defense, but his grappling skills are underdeveloped."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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