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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Gibson Jr.

Switch Grappler
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
72" Reach 70"
2.4 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
56% Strike Defense 51%
1.67 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
75% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Gibson Jr.
49%
Gaethje
51%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Gibson Jr. Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Gibson Jr. Grappling Output

Style Matchup

Grappler VS Striker

"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."

Gibson Jr. Tactics

Contender

"Lance Gibson Jr is a well-rounded fighter with a strong record, but lacks a clear statistical advantage in either striking or grappling."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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