+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Hironaka
Orthodox Judo, BJJ, Shootboxing
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
70" Reach 70"
1.98 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
54% Strike Defense 51%
1.91 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
25% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Hironaka
44%
Gaethje
56%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
— Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Hironaka Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Judo, BJJ, Shootboxing VS Striker
"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."
Hironaka Tactics
Veteran"Kuniyoshi Hironaka is a well-rounded veteran with a strong striking game and decent grappling skills, but his career trajectory suggests he may be in decline."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."
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