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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Burns

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
74" Reach 70"
2.74 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
52% Strike Defense 51%
0.28 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
47% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Burns
43%
Gaethje
57%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Burns Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Burns Tactics

Veteran

"Kevin Burns is a veteran fighter with decent striking skills, but struggles with defense and has been outgrappled in many of his fights."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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