+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Aguilar
Orthodox Striker
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
73" Reach 70"
3.96 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
52% Strike Defense 51%
0.16 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
78% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Aguilar
48%
Gaethje
52%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
▲ Aguilar Reach Advantage —
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
— Grappling Output Gaethje ▲
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Striker VS Striker
"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."
Aguilar Tactics
Veteran"Kevin Aguilar is a skilled striker with a strong record, but his grappling metrics suggest he may struggle with submissions."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."