+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Nakamura
Southpaw Balanced
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
73" Reach 70"
2.23 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
58% Strike Defense 51%
1.65 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
63% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Nakamura
50%
Gaethje
50%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
▲ Nakamura Reach Advantage —
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Nakamura Strike Defense —
— Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Nakamura Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Balanced VS Striker
"Balanced vs Specialist — The well-rounded fighter can dictate where this fight takes place, forcing their opponent out of their comfort zone."
Nakamura Tactics
Elite"Keita Nakamura is a top-level fighter with solid striking and grappling skills, making him a formidable opponent in the octagon."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."