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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Vargas

Southpaw Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
71" Reach 70"
3.65 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
57% Strike Defense 51%
0.4 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
30% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Vargas
44%
Gaethje
56%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Vargas Strike Defense
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Vargas Tactics

Prospect

"Well-rounded striker with decent accuracy and defense, and some grappling skills, suggesting a promising prospect."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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