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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Parisyan

Orthodox Judo
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
72" Reach 70"
2.49 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
58% Strike Defense 51%
5.27 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
59% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Parisyan
51%
Gaethje
49%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Parisyan Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Parisyan Strike Defense
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Parisyan Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Judo VS Striker

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Parisyan Tactics

Elite

"Karo Parisyan is a highly skilled and experienced fighter with a strong grappling background, but his record suggests he may be past his prime and struggling to compete with younger opponents."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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