+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Guthrie
N/A Grappler
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
0.16 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
14% Strike Defense 51%
2.44 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
N/A Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Guthrie
38%
Gaethje
62%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
— Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Guthrie Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Grappler VS Striker
"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."
Guthrie Tactics
Veteran"Justin Guthrie is a veteran grappler with some impressive numbers, but his striking skills are underdeveloped, making him a one-dimensional fighter."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."