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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Gonzales

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
72" Reach 70"
6.67 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
43% Strike Defense 51%
14 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
100% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Gonzales
55%
Gaethje
45%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Gonzales Reach Advantage
Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Gonzales Takedown Defense
▲ Gonzales Grappling Output
▲ Gonzales Win Rate

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Gonzales Tactics

Prospect

"Justin Gonzales is a highly skilled and aggressive striker with a strong background in Muay Thai, but his grappling skills are still developing."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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