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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
VS

Yahya

Switch Striker
70" Reach 73"
6.48 Strikes Landed/Min 3.5
51% Strike Defense 43%
0.33 Takedowns/15Min 0.5
74% Takedown Defense 42%

Win Probability

Gaethje
59%
Yahya
41%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Reach Advantage Yahya ▲
▲ Gaethje Striking Volume
▲ Gaethje Strike Defense
▲ Gaethje Takedown Defense
Grappling Output Yahya ▲
▲ Gaethje Win Rate

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

Yahya Tactics

Journeyman

"Mohammad Yahya is a well-rounded fighter with a strong grappling background, but his striking skills are underdeveloped and may leave him vulnerable to counterattacks."

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