+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
VS
Costa
Southpaw Grappler
70" Reach 71"
6.48 Strikes Landed/Min 4.38
51% Strike Defense 54%
0.33 Takedowns/15Min 2
74% Takedown Defense 58%
Win Probability
Gaethje
52%
Costa
48%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
▲ Gaethje Striking Volume —
▲ Gaethje Takedown Defense —
— Grappling Output Costa ▲
▲ Gaethje Win Rate —
Style Matchup
Striker VS Grappler
"Striker vs Grappler — Classic MMA clash. If the fight stays standing, the striker holds the edge. Takedown defense will be decisive."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."
Costa Tactics
Veteran"Melquizael Costa is a veteran grappler with a strong record and well-rounded skills, making him a formidable opponent in his weight class."