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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
VS

Micallef

Southpaw Balanced
70" Reach 77"
6.48 Strikes Landed/Min 3.96
51% Strike Defense 56%
0.33 Takedowns/15Min 1.13
74% Takedown Defense 75%

Win Probability

Gaethje
49%
Micallef
51%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Reach Advantage Micallef ▲
▲ Gaethje Striking Volume
Grappling Output Micallef ▲
Win Rate Micallef ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Balanced

"Balanced vs Specialist — The well-rounded fighter can dictate where this fight takes place, forcing their opponent out of their comfort zone."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

Micallef Tactics

Contender

"Jonathan Micallef is a grappling-focused contender with a high submission average and solid takedown defense, making him a formidable opponent on the ground."

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