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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
VS

Brener

Orthodox Striker
70" Reach 72"
6.48 Strikes Landed/Min 4.76
51% Strike Defense 50%
0.33 Takedowns/15Min 0.99
74% Takedown Defense 76%

Win Probability

Gaethje
52%
Brener
48%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Reach Advantage Brener ▲
▲ Gaethje Striking Volume
Grappling Output Brener ▲
▲ Gaethje Win Rate

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

Brener Tactics

Veteran

"Elves Brener is a seasoned striker with a strong record, high-volume striking, and decent grappling defense, but his lack of takedown skills holds him back from being a top-level fighter."

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