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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
VS

Prates

Switch Muay Thai
70" Reach 78"
6.48 Strikes Landed/Min 3.77
51% Strike Defense 47%
0.33 Takedowns/15Min 0.21
74% Takedown Defense 80%

Win Probability

Gaethje
53%
Prates
47%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Reach Advantage Prates ▲
▲ Gaethje Striking Volume
▲ Gaethje Grappling Output
▲ Gaethje Win Rate

Style Matchup

Striker VS Muay Thai

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

Prates Tactics

Veteran

"Carlos Prates is a well-rounded veteran fighter with a long career and balanced skillset, but lacks a clear statistical advantage in any area."

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