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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Paulino

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
0.97 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
48% Strike Defense 51%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 0.33
37% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Paulino
45%
Gaethje
55%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Paulino Tactics

Veteran

"Julio Paulino is a seasoned veteran with a strong striking background, but his grappling skills are non-existent and may limit his effectiveness in the long run."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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