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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Neves Jr.

N/A Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
1.98 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
51% Strike Defense 51%
1.06 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
76% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Neves Jr.
52%
Gaethje
48%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Neves Jr. Grappling Output
▲ Neves Jr. Win Rate

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Neves Jr. Tactics

Elite

"Julio Cesar Neves Jr. is a well-rounded fighter with a solid striking game, but his grappling skills are a weakness in his game."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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