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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Erosa

Southpaw Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
74" Reach 70"
6.18 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
48% Strike Defense 51%
1.73 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
61% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Erosa
48%
Gaethje
52%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Erosa Reach Advantage
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Erosa Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Erosa Tactics

Veteran

"Julian Erosa is a battle-hardened veteran with a high-volume striking style, consistently pushing the pace against his opponents."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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