+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Thornburg
N/A Grappler
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
1.2 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
38% Strike Defense 51%
2 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
42% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Thornburg
38%
Gaethje
62%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
— Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
— Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Thornburg Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Grappler VS Striker
"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."
Thornburg Tactics
Unknown"Inconsistent fighter with a strong grappling game, but struggles with striking defense and overall performance."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."
More Matchups To Explore
Thornburg vs
Gaethje vs