+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Rafferty
Orthodox Submission Artist
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
0.6 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
50% Strike Defense 51%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 0.33
N/A Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Rafferty
37%
Gaethje
63%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Submission Artist VS Striker
"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."
Rafferty Tactics
Journeyman"Josh Rafferty is a submission specialist with high submission average, but his overall skills are inconsistent."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."
More Matchups To Explore
Rafferty vs
Gaethje vs