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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Neer

Orthodox Balanced
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
72" Reach 70"
3.29 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
58% Strike Defense 51%
1.09 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
46% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Neer
45%
Gaethje
55%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Neer Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Neer Strike Defense
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Neer Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Balanced VS Striker

"Balanced vs Specialist — The well-rounded fighter can dictate where this fight takes place, forcing their opponent out of their comfort zone."

Neer Tactics

Veteran

"Josh Neer is a seasoned fighter with a well-rounded skillset, capable of effective striking and grappling, but his defense is a concern."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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