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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Emmett

Orthodox Collegiate Wrestling, Amateur MMA
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
70" Reach 70"
3.67 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
59% Strike Defense 51%
1.07 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
43% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Emmett
46%
Gaethje
54%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Emmett Strike Defense
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Emmett Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Collegiate Wrestling, Amateur MMA VS Striker

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Emmett Tactics

Veteran

"Josh Emmett is a battle-tested fighter with a strong striking game, but his mediocre grappling stats and high sapm suggest he may be vulnerable to takedowns."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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