+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Appelt
Southpaw Striker
VS
Ogawa
Orthodox Judo
N/A Reach N/A
1.35 Strikes Landed/Min 2.41
32% Strike Defense 47%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 1.25
33% Takedown Defense 66%
Win Probability
Appelt
46%
Ogawa
54%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Striking Volume Ogawa ▲
— Strike Defense Ogawa ▲
— Takedown Defense Ogawa ▲
— Win Rate Ogawa ▲
Style Matchup
Striker VS Judo
"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."
Appelt Tactics
Veteran"Josh Appelt is a powerful striker with a strong chin, but his grappling skills are underdeveloped and leave him vulnerable to submission attacks."
Ogawa Tactics
Veteran"Naoya Ogawa is a well-rounded veteran with solid striking and grappling skills, but his numbers suggest he's in decline and may be nearing the end of his career."