+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Gurgel
Orthodox Balanced
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
69" Reach 70"
3.37 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
62% Strike Defense 51%
0.81 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
60% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Gurgel
45%
Gaethje
55%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Gurgel Strike Defense —
— Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Gurgel Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Balanced VS Striker
"Balanced vs Specialist — The well-rounded fighter can dictate where this fight takes place, forcing their opponent out of their comfort zone."
Gurgel Tactics
Veteran"Jorge Gurgel is a well-rounded veteran with a strong grappling background and decent striking skills, but his career trajectory has been marked by inconsistent performances."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."
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