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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Rinaldi

Orthodox Grappler
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
72" Reach 70"
1.56 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
59% Strike Defense 51%
1.45 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
20% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Rinaldi
42%
Gaethje
58%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Rinaldi Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Rinaldi Strike Defense
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Rinaldi Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Grappler VS Striker

"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."

Rinaldi Tactics

Prospect

"Jordan Rinaldi is a prospect with a developing grappling game and moderate striking output, indicating potential for growth and improvement."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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