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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Alessio

Orthodox Balanced
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
72" Reach 70"
2.1 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
54% Strike Defense 51%
1.85 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
70% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Alessio
49%
Gaethje
51%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Alessio Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Alessio Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Balanced VS Striker

"Balanced vs Specialist — The well-rounded fighter can dictate where this fight takes place, forcing their opponent out of their comfort zone."

Alessio Tactics

Elite

"John Alessio is a highly experienced and skilled fighter with a well-rounded game, but his age and recent performance may be a concern."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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