+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Alvarez
Orthodox Striker
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
77" Reach 70"
4.78 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
54% Strike Defense 51%
0.19 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
47% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Alvarez
52%
Gaethje
48%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
▲ Alvarez Reach Advantage —
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
— Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
— Grappling Output Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Striker VS Striker
"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."
Alvarez Tactics
Elite"Joel Alvarez is a skilled striker with a strong record and impressive striking stats, suggesting a high-level career trajectory and potential for title contention."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."
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