+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Hurley
N/A Striker
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
1.12 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
56% Strike Defense 51%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 0.33
20% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Hurley
44%
Gaethje
56%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
— Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Striker VS Striker
"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."
Hurley Tactics
Veteran"Joe Hurley is a veteran fighter with solid striking metrics, including high striking accuracy and significant striking damage, but limited grappling experience and a mediocre record."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."