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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Hurley

N/A Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
1.12 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
56% Strike Defense 51%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 0.33
20% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Hurley
44%
Gaethje
56%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Hurley Tactics

Veteran

"Joe Hurley is a veteran fighter with solid striking metrics, including high striking accuracy and significant striking damage, but limited grappling experience and a mediocre record."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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